Earthquakes
Unavailable- Component score
- —
- Freshness state
- Unavailable
- Observed
- No approved current observation
Source completeness0%
Global score context
Global risk: five signals, one incomplete picture
The Global Apocalypse Score compresses five independently normalized signals into one calm status, but only when enough evidence is available. It is not a probability that the world will end, a forecast of a single catastrophe, or a substitute for local warnings. Freshness and weighted source completeness travel with the number so missing evidence cannot disappear behind a polished gauge.
- Page reviewed
- Current evidence
- Unavailable
Current evidence
Current five-component picture
The global view evaluates earthquakes, asteroids, space weather, volcanoes, and severe weather separately before deterministic aggregation. A component with no approved current input remains null.
The production read boundary currently supplies no verified component observations to this page. The global score is unavailable, source completeness is zero, and no Reasons to Chill are asserted.
Asteroids
Unavailable- Component score
- —
- Freshness state
- Unavailable
- Observed
- No approved current observation
Source completeness0%
Space weather
Unavailable- Component score
- —
- Freshness state
- Unavailable
- Observed
- No approved current observation
Source completeness0%
Volcanoes
Unavailable- Component score
- —
- Freshness state
- Unavailable
- Observed
- No approved current observation
Source completeness0%
Severe weather
Unavailable- Component score
- —
- Freshness state
- Unavailable
- Observed
- No approved current observation
Source completeness0%
Global score context
How incompleteness changes the answer
The algorithm requires a minimum number of evaluated components and weighted completeness before it can calculate a total. Available component weights are renormalized, while missing components retain null scores. Even when a number can be calculated, stale or incomplete evidence forces a provisional label so readers can distinguish a full global view from a partial one.
The aggregation combines a weighted average with the strongest component to avoid hiding a notable signal inside several quiet ones. Status bands and Reasons to Chill are versioned rules. Reassuring statements require fresh, complete evidence for the relevant domain; unavailable asteroid or volcano data can never support a claim that those conditions are safe.
Methodology
What travels with every global result
Algorithm version
A semantic version and configuration fingerprint keep historical calculations interpretable.
Source completeness
Weighted coverage reveals how much of the planned evidence actually contributed.
Provisional status
Missing or stale components remain visible even when the minimum calculation threshold is met.
Evidence-gated reassurance
Reasons to Chill appear only when fresh component evidence supports the exact statement.
Freshness state
The global clock is component-specific
Each domain uses its own freshness policy because seismic catalogs, space-weather observations, and disaster alerts age differently. The global result inherits every missing, stale, and expired state.
Current view calculated:
Provenance
Sources and usage boundaries
The public source registry is unavailable. Source decisions remain fail-closed.
| Source | Rights decision | Production state | Attribution and limits |
|---|---|---|---|
| USGS Earthquake Hazards Program | Approved | Not enabled for production | Earthquake observations are attributed to the U.S. Geological Survey and retain provider event links and timestamps. Approved production feed. The site must still show observation freshness and must not replace official local emergency guidance. |
| NASA/JPL CNEOS | Conditional | Not enabled for production | Potential close-approach context would be attributed to NASA/JPL CNEOS with the applicable provider timestamp and object identity. Conditional. Production ingestion, persistent storage, and normalized redistribution remain blocked pending sufficiently explicit usage confirmation. |
| NASA Sentry | Conditional | Not enabled for production | Any future impact-risk assessment would retain the NASA Sentry record, observation date, and source-supported risk classification. Conditional. A close approach is never converted into impact risk, and no production Sentry data is stored while the rights gate is unresolved. |
| NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center | Approved | Not enabled for production | Space-weather observations and alerts are attributed to NOAA SWPC with issue, observation, and expiry times where supplied. Approved production products. Conditions can change quickly, so delayed or missing observations cannot be described as quiet space weather. |
| Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System | Approved | Not enabled for production | Broad severe-event context is attributed to GDACS and retains its provider event identifiers, update times, and alert level. Approved for global context. GDACS is not a life-safety authority and readers must follow competent national and local services. |
| Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program | Conditional | Not enabled for production | A future volcano record would require Smithsonian GVP attribution plus the exact dataset and observation context that permission covers. Conditional. Production ingestion, scraping, synchronization, persistent storage, and normalized redistribution remain blocked pending written clarification. |
| Open-Meteo | Conditional | Not enabled for production | Any future weather enrichment would identify the approved commercial provider plan, endpoint, model, and forecast timestamp. Conditional. The free endpoint is not authorized for the planned commercial site, so it contributes no production observations. |
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